AdSense: Revenue Prediction

Until very recently, the AdSense UI featured “today’s estimated earnings”; which incorrectly suggested that this is the amount you could expect to receive that day. That wasn’t the case; it really just showed how much had been earned so far (‘estimated’ to give Google some moving space). The interface now labels this as “Today so far”, which is far more accurate.

It did give the idea of creating our own revenue prediction model, which would be useful for allowing you to understand whether today’s earnings was on track with expected performance.

We’ve now figured out how to collect revenue data from AdSense and analysed how the intraday earnings trends over a 24-hour period, so had just one missing piece to solve. The time and percent values from the prior analysis were placed into an array and a function created to return an estimate of the full day’s earnings based on this historical data.

The output now reads as:

Next: getting this data on your mobile.

Update: Grab the script and build your own prediction model.

 Tags: AdSense   Published: 25th March '11

3 Archived Wordpress Comments

Keith Mander’s Blog | AdSense: DIY Mobile Web App

[…] to use, and provides all the reports you’d actually want on-the-go. It does lack the all new revenue predictor and suffers from the annoyance of a timed user-session (thus requiring you to periodically login), […]

Keith Mander’s Blog | AdSense: Script

[…] to build your own AdSense revenue predictor or mobile app? You can download the script here –  on the […]

Keith Mander’s Blog | AdSense Checker w/ Twilio Call, SMS & Email Alerts

[…] a 3rd party service (which is a security no-no). After some further hacking, the script also made a prediction for the day’s income (using an understanding of the intraday trending of revenue during a typical day) which was handy […]